Yeah, I agree that Ness won't return. Basically instead of Ness, they had Lucas replace him. It makes sense as Mother 3 is the newer game. Just like Link isn't the OoT model anymore, he is now the TP model.
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In fact, I believe this opens several doors for us.
* If they even mentioned Ness, it would be a travesty not to include him. Thus, Ness is included.
* If Ness is included, that means that there is a strong possibility that the other three original SSB Unlockable characters (Luigi, Captain Falcon, and Jigglypuff. Ness included.) will be making a triumphant return as well in the future.
* If they admitted that Lucas is similar to Ness, (And we have obviously seen how similarly he is to a "Clone" character, namely what Falco was to Fox.) then there's little probability that other clone-like characters would be denied.
* Hence, Falco. icon_biggrin.gif God I hope so. I mean Lucas's Bair is a Meteor Smash, so they wouldn't necessarily be altering Falco's Dair Spike to nerf him, now would they?
I don't think it will be a travesty without him as you can look at it as Lucas is Ness in a different model. Link isn't going to be the same exact Link from SSBM, Mario isn't the same mario, pikachu isn't the same pikachu. They change them a little (the physics are obviously not going to be exactly the same) to make a balance for this game. Ike is the same way.
I think Nintendo is going for a clonefree SSB for this one. Falco, Luigi, and Ganon are clones that I want on the game, but may not be on there. Luigi has a very high chance however, I still think he will have a different moveset. Ganon also has a chance on returning with a different move set. However, for some reason I think Star Wolf is a bigger chance then Falco.